Instructions
Read each question carefully. For the multiple-choice questions, circle the best answer. For the other questions, write your answer on the line provided. Good luck!
Part A: Objective Questions
Circle the best word to describe the chance of each event happening.
- The sun will set in the evening.
- A) Impossible
- B) Unlikely
- C) Likely
- D) Certain
- You will see a pig fly in the sky today.
- A) Impossible
- B) Unlikely
- C) Likely
- D) Certain
- It will rain somewhere in the world today.
- A) Impossible
- B) Unlikely
- C) Likely
- D) Certain
- You will eat a piece of fruit this week.
- A) Impossible
- B) Unlikely
- C) Likely
- D) Certain
- Flipping a coin will result in it landing on its edge.
- A) Impossible
- B) Unlikely
- C) Likely
- D) Certain
Look at this spinner. It has 4 equal sections: 2 are Blue, 1 is Red, and 1 is Yellow. Answer the questions below.
- Which color is it most likely to land on?
- A) Red
- B) Blue
- C) Yellow
- D) Green
- What is the chance of landing on Red compared to Yellow?
- A) More likely
- B) Less likely
- C) Impossible
- D) Equally likely
- What is the chance of landing on Green?
- A) Certain
- B) Likely
- C) Impossible
- D) Unlikely
Imagine a bag with 5 Red marbles, 4 Green marbles, and 1 Blue marble. Answer the questions below.
- Which color are you most likely to pick without looking?
- A) Red
- B) Green
- C) Blue
- Which color are you least likely to pick without looking?
- A) Red
- B) Green
- C) Blue
- Is it certain you will pick a marble that is Red, Green, or Blue?
- A) Yes
- B) No
- Is picking a Green marble likely or unlikely?
- A) Likely
- B) Unlikely
True or False? Circle the correct answer.
- If you roll a standard 6-sided die, it is impossible to roll a 7.
- A) True
- B) False
- Flipping a coin and getting "heads" is an even chance.
- A) True
- B) False
- It is likely that your pet dog will do your math homework.
- A) True
- B) False
- The word certain means something will definitely happen.
- A) True
- B) False
- If there are 9 girls and 1 boy in a class, it is unlikely the teacher will pick a boy's name from a hat.
- A) True
- B) False
Imagine a different bag with 10 candies: 5 are Cherry, 3 are Lemon, and 2 are Orange. Answer the questions below.
- What is the chance of picking a Cherry candy?
- A) Certain
- B) Even Chance
- C) Unlikely
- Is it more likely to pick a Lemon or an Orange candy?
- A) Lemon
- B) Orange
- C) Equally likely
- If you eat one Cherry candy, is the chance of picking another Cherry candy on your next try the same?
- A) Yes
- B) No
Part B: Subjective Questions
Write your answers on the lines provided.
- Describe the chance of rolling an even number (2, 4, or 6) on a standard 6-sided die. Use one of these words: impossible, unlikely, even chance, likely, certain.
__________________________________________________________________
- Write down one thing that is impossible to happen in your classroom tomorrow.
__________________________________________________________________
- Write down one thing that is certain to happen at school this week.
__________________________________________________________________
- A weather forecast says there is a "high chance" of rain. Is it likely or unlikely to rain?
__________________________________________________________________
- If a bag has 10 blue balls and 1 red ball, why is it unlikely you will pick the red ball?
__________________________________________________________________
Chance Experiment: Coin Toss
Find a coin to complete this experiment.
- Predict: Before you toss the coin, which side do you think will land facing up more often, heads or tails? Or will they be equal?
My prediction: ____________________________________________________
- Toss & Tally: Toss your coin 10 times. Make a tally mark for each result.
Heads: ____________________
Tails: ____________________
- Look at your results. Was your prediction correct? (Yes or No)
__________________________________________________________________
- Why is a coin toss considered an "even chance"?
__________________________________________________________________
- If you wanted to make it more likely to pick a red marble from a bag of blue marbles, what would you need to do?
__________________________________________________________________
Answer Key
Part A: Objective Questions
- D) Certain
- A) Impossible
- C) Likely
- C) Likely
- B) Unlikely
- B) Blue
- D) Equally likely
- C) Impossible
- A) Red
- C) Blue
- A) Yes
- A) Likely
- A) True
- A) True
- B) False
- A) True
- A) True
- B) Even Chance
- A) Lemon
- B) No (There are fewer cherry candies left, so the chance is lower).
Part B: Subjective Questions (Sample Answers)
- Even chance
- An elephant will walk into the room. / It will snow inside.
- The bell will ring. / My teacher will be there.
- Likely
- Because there are many more blue balls than red balls.
- (Student's own prediction)
- (Student's own results from the experiment)
- (Student's own answer based on their prediction and results)
- Because there are only two sides, and each has an equal chance of landing face up.
- You would need to add more red marbles to the bag.